South Carolina And Nevada

By
January 18, 2008

The eventual Republican nominee may win tomorrow, but not in South Carolina, in Nevada, instead. Even some in SC think the winner there won’t go on to get the nod.

Democrat (Shrillary) Clinton and Republican Mitt Romney have comfortable leads in Nevada going into Saturday’s presidential campaign caucuses, according to a new Review-Journal poll.

South Carolina looks like it will go to McCain. Fred is showing momentum, but he hasn’t gone at McCain as hard as he has Huckabee and he needed to do that to win. Anyone care to try and explain that? Unless the polls are missing something the ultimate beneficiary of Fred’s surge won’t be Fred.

Romney was smart to duck SC and gather more delegates in Nevada. Meanwhile, Florida is shaping up like a hell of a race. If Rudy loses there to Romney, this thing might just about be over. Any other outcome makes it a wide open race going into Super Tuesday, Feb. 5th. Everyone will have to play their best shots then and we could be looking at an open convention – which I hope to be blogging from, by the way.

Lastly, I’ll leave you with this living, breathing nonsense from Huckabee on the Constitution. As Bryan points out, Huckabee doesn’t even know what that means. It has less to do with the Amendment process, than it does judicial interpretation.

… because the Constitution isn’t a living, breathing document. If it were, as the proponents of that understanding tend to believe, you can find meanings in the penumbras of what’s actually written….

Between his record, his constantly changing positions, and his constantly talking about things he simply doesn’t understand, there’s really no way Huckabee isn’t a liberal. Certainly, any notion that he’s a conservative is a joke.



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Comments:
  1. Terry Gain says:

    Dan
    Power Line and CaptainEd have the latest news from Iraq. Please start a new thread on this. Post the graphs showing improvements that only a dishonest leftard fool would deny. I want to see these losers freak. Again. Especially you boob.

  2. Rich says:

    Isn’t it ironic that one of the most conservative states in the country goes for McCain and a swing state goes for Romney? But McCain isn’t conservative, is he?

  3. Dan Riehl says:

    “Isn’t it ironic”
    Not really – Romney has won Republicans and conservatives across the board. And SC has the highest active and retired military population of all states – that’s where McCain gets his edge. That and his having campaigned there in 2000 to much fanfare. Take away Huck and run omney and McCain head to head in SC and McCain loses hands down. You ahve to read the internals to fully appreciate what goes on.

  4. Metzger says:

    Maybe I’m just being a little too simple minded about it, but, I think Fred not going after McCain boils down to the fact that both were/are senators. Another reason not to elect someone from that particular institution.

  5. Sara says:

    Las Vegas Review Journal, largest Nevada newspaper, has endorsed Romney: “the viable candidate most likely to lead Republicans” in the direction so that the GOP “again embraces the ideas and concepts that made this nation a beacon of freedom and economic opportunity.”
    Reno Gazette-Journal has decided to hedge their bets and has endorsed Romney and Obama:
    On Romney, the Reno paper says:
    “The best candidate — and the one who would give the party its strongest chance in the fall — is former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney.
    Romney’s No. 1 opponent since the New Hampshire primary is Arizona Sen. John McCain. McCain is a genuine war hero. He’s also a government insider who has outlived scandal.

    But McCain is no friend to Nevada. In 2000, he was chief sponsor of a bill that would have banned betting on college sports, a business legal in Nevada. He also is a supporter of the Yucca Mountain project.”

  6. Cory says:

    If Fred takes 4th in SC I don’t see him staying in the race. Very few of the conservative Fredheads will go over to the liberals Huckabee and McCain. This means a win in Nevada for Romney and an extra 5-10 points for Romney in every state thereafter. Go Mitt!

  7. Sara says:

    The latest Nevada poll has Mitt Romney up by a very big margin:
    “The Las Vegas Review-Journal survey published today gives Romney a 34 percent to 15 percent edge over John McCain. Mike Huckabee was in third with 13 percent, followed by Fred Thompson with 8 percent, Ron Paul with 7 percent, and Rudy Giuliani with 6 percent.”

  8. K says:

    Romney may benefit in Nevada from Mormon votes. There are quite a few there but I won’t pretend to know if that is a factor.
    Thompson in SC? No, he probably won’t come out on top. But Fred has to get first be rid of Huckabee, a rival who appeals to some of the same demographics. Thompson is smart not to go after McCain until Huck is not a factor.
    Who really wants a messy fight with McCain anyway? He has been a factor in the GOP for decades and many like him even though they don’t think he should be President.
    McCain’s big drawback is the illegal immigration amnesty matter. And that is where Thompson or any other GOP candidate must defeat McCain or fail. Chattering about John’s tendency to liberal views on some lesser matters won’t sway enough voters in the primaries.

  9. TheSpartan says:

    Oh, bring us Mitt…a liar, a flip flopper, a hypocrite and an opportunistic carpet bagger…nice.

  10. Kaitian says:

    K,
    The mormon vote in Nevada is barely influential in how the state leans. Yes, I come from an LDS family myself but Nevada has the 3rd biggest mormon population outside of Utah. Idaho, Wyoming are the first 2. The LDS population hasn’t done much to influence Nevadan politics because it’s pretty much a gambling haven that LDS opposes. My grandmother was a money counter for one of the largest casinos back in the 70’s but she didn’t gamble. They were just hired because they were honest workers based on their religious backgrounds. Other than that, they haven’t tamed Nevada at all despite the fact mormons were the first to have found Las Vegas.
    However on the primary level, the mormon population could also play a factor in delivering Nevada primary to Romney mostly because 80%+ mormons are registered Republicans and avid voters. I’d know.

  11. Kaitian says:

    TheSpartan,
    You have nothing to prove us he’s any of those things. The flipflopping issue is hard to put on him because he was advocating to the biggest leftist state in the United States to get elected as Senator against Kennedy and as Governor. John Kerry was easy to plant it on because he would vote one way on the issues he either disagreed or agreed with and then said the opposite. Romney hasn’t done any of those actions while he was Governor despite the fact he said these things. Actions and words needs to go hand in hand to make you a flipflopper. Romney’s biggest boost to his reputation in the Governor race of Massachusetts was because of the 2002 Olympics.

  12. tally says:

    the winter olympics? big freaking deal. this guy wouldn’t even be around if it wasn’t for his own money keeping him a float. does romney have any law enforcement or military experience? no. did anyone in his family, or has he been exposed to it at all? guess i need to look that up.

  13. Kaitian says:

    Where did I say the 2002 Olympics boosts his Presidential campaign? I didn’t. I said it was a boost to his reputation when he was running for Governor and that succeeded because the election was later that year and the Olympics was in February. Stop assuming.

  14. Kaitian says:

    Also I noticed that you’re playing the “Your child has to serve in the military if you want to be military-credible.” That’s become a stupid liberal tactic and going by that tactic, I’m going to assume you’re one of those dipshits who likes to bash that point and say the same thing for George W. Bush pushing for Jenna or Barbara Bush to serve in the military.
    Did Bill Clinton serve in the military? Did Ronald Reagan have any military or law enforcement experience? No, they didn’t but nonetheless they did the job of the President well. Does Hillary Clinton or Obama have either? Hell does Huckabee? But nonetheless they’re serious contenders. Oh wait, it’s okay to pass on the Democrats because they oppose the war so that means they are not willing to use the military options whatsoever.

  15. TheSpartan says:

    TheSpartan,
    You have nothing to prove us he’s any of those things. The flipflopping issue is hard to put on him because he was advocating to the biggest leftist state in the United States to get elected as Senator against Kennedy and as Governor. John Kerry was easy to plant it on because he would vote one way on the issues he either disagreed or agreed with and then said the opposite. Romney hasn’t done any of those actions while he was Governor despite the fact he said these things. Actions and words needs to go hand in hand to make you a flipflopper. Romney’s biggest boost to his reputation in the Governor race of Massachusetts was because of the 2002 Olympics.
    Nothing? He claimed he would do more for gay rights than Ted Kennedy while running for US Senate, that pretty much proves he’s ALL of those things…that’s not even getting into the lie told on the treil the other day about not having lobbyists run his campaign. He’s flipped on numerous issues…he’s a hypocrite because he’s against illegal immigration but hires illegals to take care of his lawn…and he’s the very definition of a carpet bagger. Good luck with him, the dems would love to run against him in the fall.

  16. Fred Beloit says:

    Well, Spart, you are obviously afraid of Romney. Maybe I should rethink my opposition to him. Why do you care whom the GOP puts up? Methinks the lady dost protest too much.

  17. TheSpartan says:

    I care because it’s great theatre how much your party is fracturing…factions, factions, factions…looks like you could split into three additional parties like some European system. Have fun.

  18. Fred Beloit says:

    Well, you have Kucinich, Spart. Something you can hang your proud hat on. Hahahaa.