So Where Do Things Stand?

October 31, 2008

Obama can't reach or break fifty percent consistently even with the media cheering him on and McCain is stuck in the forties somewhere. If America is looking for real leadership in 2008, I suspect many are still wondering where the hell it went.

Gawd! Would someone make this election stop? I have to believe much of America has had it by now. As far as where things stand, McCain remains a very long-shot to win. And the problem is, as usual, McCain.

With numbers in the low to mid-forties, he's never truly inspired or provided a rationale for a McCain presidency, other than don't vote for "that guy." That's rarely a winning strategy. Can it pay off? It could and even might, but I wouldn't bet on it.

Watching Goldfarb twist in the wind the other night because he dare not mention Jeremiah Wright was pathetic and emblematic of McCain's approach to the attack component of the campaign. We want to hit him hard, oh but not that hard. What a freaking joke. So once again McCain takes the high road and has the carpet pulled out from under him. If that's good judgment, then there's actually a conservative on the ballot this year. Fact is, there ain't – not in the top slot, anyway.

Peggy Noonan locks up her seat at State dinners and completes her decline into old age, irrelevancy and emotional tripe that does America no good and ultimately means nothing with this bit of meandering nonsense today. It's time for Noonan to retire and go west to roam the hallways of the Reagan Library as an inconvenient ghost from the past.

I expected a week of mounting attacks from McCain. It appears his campaign had a poor start way back when he drifted through the South doing townhalls instead of staking a claim. And I guess he never planned for a close. Monday was good, McCain won the news cycle. Since then, it's been nothing but the usual crap. The numbers haven't been closing, certainly not like they needed to for a McCain win. As of this moment, it looks like McCain has nothing left.

Are there enough undecideds and perhaps last minute switches to throw this thing to McCain? I can't rule it out. But a significant number of Americans don't really want to see either of these two guys become President. And that, more than anything else, might be the take away from this year's run.

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  1. hdtv says:

    It’s over. Nobody will be listening this weekend, or Monday for that matter. Undecides, the few that are left, break fairly evenly, so there’s no winning element for McCain…but there never really was anyway since Obama’s margins were always roughly equal to the number of undecides.

  2. Obama is my saviour says:

  3. TheAdmiral says:

    I honestly expected something, anything to break this morning; maybe the release of the Khalidi tape that the McCain camp had in their hip pocket. But it’s pretty clear this is it. Nothing released after noon today will have much impact so it’s up to the voters. Hopefully enough have paid attention to the serious Marxism Obama has planned. If not, they are going to wake up February 1, 2009 to a whole new country after Obama/Pelosi/Reid have wrecked generations of hard work with 10 days of socialist legislation.

  4. mark l. says:

    “Nobody will be listening this weekend, or Monday for that matter.”
    then why is obama is iowa?
    “Undecides, the few that are left, break fairly evenly…”
    which election are you referencing with this?
    reagan/carter? bush/kerry?
    The most important issue is momentum in the final week…
    mccain has trimmed obama’s double digit lead with the margin of error in many polls, as of yesterday.
    The ap advises that there are 11% undecideds, consitent with a few other polls.
    there is a rather strange effect when a candiate does close as mccain has. as he support grows it does not provide for a wavering among those who declare their obama support. people who were 80% sure of obama, move into the 51% sureness range, which doesn’t manifest until the actually deicde whether they are going to vote, within their wavering support.
    generic support for democrats is now lower than it was in 04, and gop support is actually higher. polls told us that the democrats held a 11 pt advantage on the number, but the demographics of the elction provided for a TIE, among the two groups.
    turnout? take a look at rural voters…these people are actually more polarized than urban voters, now and relative to 04. mccain advantage in many polls among this group is twice the advantage9margin) that bush held in 04. Who knew there were so many bitter clingers?
    ALL advantages that obama had gained among minority voters has been wiped out by the increase and polarization of rural voters.
    This election is going to be decided in the suburbs, and this is the group that features the most undecideds. rural vote and urban vote feature fewer undecideds.
    a difference of 3-4 pts, say 52-48, favoring obama is completely nullified by turnout.
    even now obama’s poll average is 49.7…
    a month ago pollsters were pointing to this number as a critcal threshold for obama.
    look at previous polling for presidential candidates, and find a case where a democrat exceded his polling numbers. You won’t find it. An example where a gop candidate did so? pick an election, any election.
    fox news has the race 47-43. In 04, the had kerry +2, kerry lost by 5.
    85% turnout by obama supporters would lose on this margin to a 92% turnout by mccain supporters. I won’t portray mcain’s supporters as a group that overwhelmingly supports him, but I would advise that the closeness in the polls is indicative of a fear of an obama presidency. McCain’s closing? the fear is increasing. the act of voting, especially when you are undecided is perhaps one of the largest sources of anxiety, exacerbating the fear and riving those who haven’t committed to either candidate to vote for mccain.
    the story in the news two weeks ago was the eventualy victory of obama.
    public rxn? the polls tightened.
    does anyone believe that the public will not be considerng the ramifications of an obama presidency even more when they go vote on nov 04?
    this race is far from over.

  5. chris says:

    “fox news has the race 47-43. In 04, the had kerry +2, kerry lost by 5.”
    Actually, Bush got 51.1% and Kerry got 48.6%, a difference of 2.5%. Are you a shill or a moron?

  6. IslamoLlama says:

    There’s still a chance! McCain just needs to divert all power to the rear deflector and emit a particle netreno burst that will destabilize Obama’s port engine. Every man to battle stations. Prepare for impact.
    Never give up! Never surrender! Go down kicking and screaming!
    McCain / Palin ’08 or bust!

  7. mary says:

    speaking about going down “kicking and screaming”, What up with the three reporters being kicked of the plane? Their replacements tell you for them, for the BO campaign, “it’s all about race.”

  8. mark l. says:

    fox poll before 04 election,
    kerry 49-bush 47.
    final result, 51.1-48.6.
    kerry lost .4, bush gained 4.1.
    .4+4.1=4.5 shift in vote.
    sorry I rounded up. the caveat remains.
    voter turnout in 04 was 64% of available voters.
    bush won 51.1% of those 64%, but far more significantly, he increased his vote total by 22%. Did you see that one coming?
    yes, obama is doing well mimorites, but he is getting slaughtered in rual areas, suggesting that they are going to turnout in even larger numbers. military vote? 24.9 million? mccain is running against a dem ticket that has NO military on it. religious voters? reverend wright really did not help obama.
    an obama victory is dependent upon democratic turnout exceeding the gop turnout, otherwise he loses.
    not only do you have to increase your total by 5% from 04, but you must also beat an increased turnout from the gop.
    NO POLLSTER predicted a 22% increase–(kerry recieved a 16% increase)
    crunch the numbers-
    if mccain gets only a 10% increase on the 04 gop numbers, the democrats will have to get 15.5% increase just in order to pull even on the popular vote. mccain is going to get 70 million.

  9. mj says:

    Mark, at what point are you going to give this up? Are you going to wake up on November 5th, after an Obama victory, and still say McCain has a chance? You’re moving away from optimism and getting closer to appearing foolish.

  10. chris says:

    “speaking about going down “kicking and screaming”, What up with the three reporters being kicked of the plane? Their replacements tell you for them, for the BO campaign, “it’s all about race.””
    The Moonie Paper should never have been allowed on the plane to begin with. What’s next, the Branch Davidian Gazette?

  11. mary says:

    Is it going to be a fairly won obama victory? Cause to the American people it doesn’t look like it. With all the BO supporters saying for months emphatically that “BO WILL WIN NO MATTER WHAT” it makes you wonder if they have been able to be so confident cause they knew something we didn’t?

  12. wolfwalker says:

    Five more days, then it’s over.
    Then we get to sit back and watch as the Dow dives below 5000, and the Snob reluctantly announces that not only can’t he fund any of his new programs, he can’t even fund existing programs, and the government will have to make major job and service cuts. By inauguration day his popularity will be lower than Bush’s.

  13. Karen says:

    McCain will win.

  14. Worst President Ever says:

    Mark gives another of his lousy analysis.
    It’s the state polls that matter – duh. McCain is tied or losing in Virgina, North Carolina, Nevada, Missouri, and Ohio. He has to win ALL of those states or he loses the election.
    How bad are things for McCain? He’s running robocalls in Arizona where Obama’s getting ready to drop an ad.
    As for the Fox News poll – they changed the poll internals to include more Republicans and fewer Democrats. Whaddaya think happened? McCain gained ground vs. their previous poll. It’s Magic!!!!
    The belief that a large turnout somehow favors McCain is delusional.
    Per Rasmussen – one of the most McCain-friendly polls that has the race at Obama +4:
    Obama leads in states with 260 Electoral College votes while McCain is ahead in states with 160 Electoral College votes. When “leaners” are included, it’s Obama 313, McCain 160.

  15. mark l. says:

    here’s a simpler overview:
    using these numbers, which provides a 55.3% turnout(different from the earlier number I used from WaPo)
    55.3% turnout.
    bush won-28.3% of ‘potential’ voters.
    kerry won-26.9% of ‘potential’ voters.
    mccain is going to clear 30% of available voters, easy(a 6% increase).
    obama would need a 12% increase just to pull even. You have significant problems with conservative dems, who favored clinton. Voting against bush in 04 was easy for them, voting for obama in 08 raises serious questions about how they perecieve their own party. he is not a clinton democrat and has made no effort to be so.
    one may argue the issues of 04, but it seemed the litmus test(right or wrong) was ‘bush invaded iraq beacuase of wmds but found none’. The democrats were motivated for punitive reasons, the conservatives were motivated becuase they did not trust kerry to handle foreign policy, despite bush’s failings. bush didn’t win becuase he was that good, he won becuase kerry was that bad.
    The litmus test now?
    obama is getting destroyed on the ‘commander in chief’ test and trailing in ‘has enough experience’ to govern.
    The difference is even starker than in 04, and the turnout will reflect this. I’ve seen polls that a very favorable to obama, but in the questions is the classic-
    who is more experienced?
    mccain won this question in the big 10 poll by something like 72-12 over obama. voters do not have faith in him, and it was the deciding issue of 04, despite bush’s clearly defined failings in reagrds to Iraq.
    are voters going to turnout in a period where we are told that we face financial crisis and elect the guy with the least experience?
    this is going to be a landslide for mccain.

  16. Worst President Ever says:

    “this is going to be a landslide for mccain.”
    That’s the funniest thing I’ve read in months.

  17. mark l. says:

    obama has an 11pt lead in Iowa ‘by rcp’.
    why is he there?

  18. MickVV says:

    It’s so enjoyable to watch you sad and delusional fools circle the drain. And all the way down you’ll still be whining. Victims to the very end.

  19. Continuum says:

    ” . . . By inauguration day his popularity will be lower than Bush’s. ”
    By inauguaration day, Bush will be lucky if anybody admits to knowing him. (Or, any Republican for that matter.)

  20. Worst President Ever says:

    Maybe because he likes Iowa – he wouldn’t be about to become our next president without it. Had he lost there, Hillary would have probably gotten the nomination.
    And Obama absolutely, positively kills McCain on economic issues – which is what people are worried about right now.
    President Barack Hussein Obama!

  21. mark l. says:

    you know why he is in IA?
    they were finding first time rural voters coming out in droves AGAINST obama.
    they didn’t have any way of gauging the increase until the voting began. Obama didn’t go to change their minds, he went to shore up the base in an attempt to offset the numbers they were seeing. anemic turnout among the base? maybe…
    looking at the above numbers in regard to turnout in 04:
    28.3 voters out of a possible 100 came out for bush in 04.
    26.9 voters out of a possible 100 came out for kerry.
    this election is really about trying to figure why and whether people will come out, not a popularity contest as the polls make it.
    obama is not leading among ALL likely voters, he is leading among all voters, WILLING TO PARTICIPATE in a poll. There is a segment of our society who really do not not care to express their views, outside an anonymous vote. These people are markedly conservative and a huge advantage for mccain’s turnout.

  22. Worst President Ever says:

    Gallup Daily: Obama Lead Among Likely Voters 5 to 7 Points
    “Barack Obama holds a statistically significant lead over John McCain in both Gallup likely voter models, according to Oct. 27-29 Gallup Poll Daily tracking. In the traditional model, which defines likely voters based on current voting intention and past voting behavior, Obama holds a 50% to 45% lead. In the expanded model, in which only current voting intentions are considered, his lead is 51% to 44%.”
    Maybe you can explain why the Georgia polls are wrong and it really hasn’t turned into a battleground state. If McCain loses Georgia it’s gonna be a mega-landslide.
    “The latest polls show the Obama-McCain race to be neck-and-neck —- one poll showed McCain ahead by 1 point, another had him up by 5 but yet another had him down by 3. And while the race for Georgia’s 15 electoral votes is tight, neither side appears to be investing significant cash or resources to win it in the final days. Neither campaign has announced visits by the candidates or their top surrogates. As of Thursday, neither had bought last-minute television advertising here.”

  23. mary says:

    At this point, I’m sorry I didn’t cast my vote for Hillary.

  24. Worst President Ever says:

    And after the election, we’ll be posting banner headlines like: “Obama elected in Historic Landslide, Claims Mandate”.
    That’s part of the playbook, too.

  25. mark l. says:

    “In an Op-Ed piece for the New York Times, Kohut wrote, “Poorer, less well-educated white people refuse surveys more often than affluent, better-educated whites. Polls generally adjust their samples for this tendency. But here’s the problem: these whites who do not respond to surveys tend to have more unfavorable views of blacks than respondents who do the interviews.”
    “the inaccuracies don’t seem related to the subtleties of polling methods. The pollsters who overestimated Mr. Obama’s margin ranged from CBS and Gallup (who have the most rigorous voter screens and sampling designs, and have sterling records in presidential elections) to local and computerized polling operations, whose methods are a good deal less refined. Everyone got it wrong.”
    “I concluded, eventually, that I got it wrong not so much because respondents were lying to our interviewers but because poorer, less well-educated voters were less likely to agree to answer our questions. That was a decisive factor in my miscall.”
    (Andrew Kohut is the president of the Pew Research Center.)

  26. mark l. says:

    did bill ayers really dedicate his book ‘prairie fire’ to sirhan sirhan, the guy who shot rfk?
    welcome october surprise. This is the story that tips the apple cart for moderate dems.

  27. Hawkins says:

    I’ve been ignoring polls, but I get the feeling there is a massive silent number of McCain supporters, because they have to be, lest they have Obamacons “in their face”
    I’m just not sure it’s enough to win.
    Democrats are ALWAYS more boisterous about their guy. It’s in their nature. Most elections, people are reasonable and not in love with candidates and examine their strengths/faults. This year, they’re so in love that anyone who reports faults is not “loyal.”
    I honestly can’t tell, but the ever growing chorus for the Cult of Personality frightens me and I’m not a person prone to fear.

  28. Now watch as WPE defends Sirhan Sirhan because Bill Ayers and the Obamamessiah support him.

  29. Oh, and here’s the latest; Obama has promised that black people won’t have to work and that the government will pay their gas and mortgage for them.

  30. Worst President Ever says:

    As they say: It’s the economy, stupid. Not Bill Ayers. But go ahead, launch that attack. It says more about where McCain is and his desperation than Obama.
    Why did McCain funnel $500,000 to Rashid Khalidi?

  31. Fred Beloit says:

    Sirhan Sirhan?? Doesn’t he teach at U. Ill. Chicago or Columbia or somewhere?

  32. mark l. says:

    “I get the feeling there is a massive silent number of McCain supporters”
    take a look at voter registration in Va…
    “But it turns out that in the counties where Kerry won more than 50 percent of the vote in 2004, 71,466 new voters have registered.
    In counties where Kerry won between 40 percent and 50 percent of the vote, 104,805 new voters have registered.
    And in counties where Kerry won less than 40 percent of the vote – Bush country – an eye-opening 109,243 new voters have registered.”

  33. With pleasure.
    There’s nothing better than telling people that Obama supports, endorses, and takes advice from a man who planned to use nail bombs to kill hundreds of US soldiers, who firebombed the house of a judge and his family because the judge had dared to preside over a case involving black criminals, and who states that his only regret is that he didn’t do more of the same.
    “Why did McCain funnel $500,000 to Rashid Khalidi?”
    Sorry, Alinskyite, but you’ve already screamed that Barack Obama never funneled money to black racists and terrorists, even though he was head of the Annenberg Challenge which did and he himself reviewed the grants.
    Your whining about this merely shows more of the Obamamessiah’s hypocrisy, in that you are trying to claim what McCain did was wrong and what Obama did was right. You continually demonstrate your racist beliefs by allowing a black man to engage in activities that you oppose when a white man does them.

  34. mark l. says:

    don’t worry wpe-
    I’m sure you can find a political supporter of mccain’s, who dedicated a book to james earl ray.
    the whole sirhan sirhan thing doesn’t impact voters at large, but it is pretty disgusting to older democrats.
    although i just finished talking with an older dem friend, who early voted, happily, for obama…he wants his vote back now-he loved the kennedys. too late for him, not so much for the other 90% of voters left to cast a ballot.

  35. mary says:

    OT: Just found this pic of MO and BO. It’s on the hillbuzz site. What burns me up is that they criticized Palin for the money spent on her make up and if you look at these pictures it is sooo obvious that these two have had a mega make over. Wonder what that mega makeover cost? I mean it is them, but it looks nothing like them now.
    You gotta take a peak, the tone around here is so morose this might get you guys fired up.

  36. Worst President Ever says:

    I didn’t claim anything – I asked a simple question to point out the hypocrisy of McCain attacking Obama over Khalidi when he’d given money to the same guy.
    Again, it’s the HYPOCRISY.

  37. mary says:

    WPE, I’m not an Anne Coulter fan but she put this one to bed last night on Hannity. That woman was on fire last night.
    The best was Tito though and the comment he made to Colmes to bring the house down. He got the studio crew to laugh. That was a big one. If there is a video somewhere and you can see it, it is well worth the time.

  38. gimmeabreak says:

    Pretty pathetic that you cling your hopes on a smear.

  39. mark l. says:

    should drudge wait until Saturday before putting up his sirens with the headline:
    “Obama Political Patron Dedicates Book to RFK Assassin”?
    Once the story is written by a major paper, the link goes up. I have my own suspicions about the pending october surprise, and given the media’s one sided reporting, I don’t think Drudge will regret doing it. If not sirhan sirhan, then something else, far more juicy.
    My guess?
    a british paper will be the one who hangs obama out to dry. as it stands, I don’t even think mccain needs it.
    palin is going to iowa on monday, why?

  40. Hawkins says:

    mark l.: I’m from Virginia, what happened was all those beltway lefties tired of being taxed to death of their own doing came to Virginia, only to screw that state up too.
    It’s sad what happened. But then again, I was from the military part of Virginia. Solid Red.

  41. WBestPresidentEver says:

    Never give up ! Fight fight fight to the end.
    It is not over til it’s over.
    Get your Maverick butts to the polls and Vote November 4th.

  42. mark l. says:

    kerry did far better among the military vote in Va, relative to obama.
    can’t deny that there was some resentment from the military for bush in va, and he still won.
    it is a huge demographic in VA, and I honestly see mccain doing far better than bush.
    Can’t help but noitce that Webb, a military vet, beat allen(no military record) by less than 1%.
    The warner factor is huge, but mccain v. obama is a no brainer.
    I’m thinking the margin is going to run 75-25 in favor of mac, among military/vets, and advantage that allen didn’t have, and almost didn’t need.

  43. JustOneMan says:

    The article speaks for itself no comments needed..
    Erica Jong Tells Italians Obama Loss ‘Will Spark the Second American Civil War. Blood Will Run in the Streets’
    by Jason Horowitz | October 30, 2008 | Tags: PoliticsBarack ObamaDick CheneyErica JongGeorge W. BushJane FondaKen FollettMichael ChabonNormal MailerPhillip RothTom Wolfe
    Getty Images
    Erica Jong, 1976.It seems that the final days of the presidential campaign have made Erica Jong and her friends more than a little anxious.
    A few days ago, Jong, the author and self-described feminist, gave an interview to the Italian daily Corriere della Sera, the choicest bits of which were brought to my attention by the reliably sharp-eyed Christian Rocca, the U.S. correspondent of Il Foglio, who published excerpts on his Camillo blog. Basically, Jong says her fear that Obama might lose the election has developed into an “obsession. A paralyzing terror. An anxious fever that keeps you awake at night.” She also says that her friends Jane Fonda and Naomi Wolf are extremely worried that Obama will be sabotaged by Republican dirty tricks, and that if an Obama loss indeed comes to pass, the result will be a second American Civil War.
    Here’s a translation of Jong’s more spirited quotes to the Milan-based Corriere, as selected by Rocca.
    “The record shows that voting machines in America are rigged.”
    “My friends Ken Follett and Susan Cheever are extremely worried. Naomi Wolf calls me every day. Yesterday, Jane Fonda sent me an email to tell me that she cried all night and can’t cure her ailing back for all the stress that has reduces her to a bundle of nerves.”
    “My back is also suffering from spasms, so much so that I had to see an acupuncturist and get prescriptions for Valium.”
    “After having stolen the last two elections, the Republican Mafia…”
    “If Obama loses it will spark the second American Civil War. Blood will run in the streets, believe me. And it’s not a coincidence that President Bush recalled soldiers from Iraq for Dick Cheney to lead against American citizens in the streets.”
    “Bush has transformed America into a police state, from torture to the imprisonment of reporters, to the Patriot Act.”

  44. mary says:

    Speaking of the Military:
    “Gen. David Petraeus sworn in as head of U.S. Central Command
    Pablo Martinez Monsivais / Associated Press
    Army Gen. David H. Petraeus has been tapped to become the next commander of the Middle East headquarters of U.S. Central Command.
    As regional commander, Petraeus takes charge of the war in Afghanistan as well as the conflict in Iraq.
    By Julian E. Barnes
    10:11 AM PDT, October 31, 2008″,0,5920312.story
    Not only is he brilliant but women all over America think he is soooo HOT!

  45. mark l. says:

    would have made a better veep, than…anybody else.

  46. mary says:

    ABC radio just said that “Iowa was the scene of BO’s first big win”
    He must be superstitious.

  47. “Pretty pathetic that you cling your hopes on a smear.”
    Which is simply reporting that Barack Obama supports and endorses a man who dedicated his terrorist manifesto to Sirhan Sirhan, who planned to use nail bombs to kill hundreds of US soldiers, who firebombed the house of a judge and his family because the judge had dared to preside over a case involving black criminals, and who states that his only regret is that he didn’t do more of the same.
    This is the game the spoiled little boy Barack has played his entire life; if he doesn’t get what he wants, he screams and cries and whines that he’s being “smeared” and that the person who’s doing it is “racist”.

  48. SacTownMan says:

    Man the Astroturfing loons are out in force!
    Come on Dallas, submit to the mantra from the trolls, “this thing is over, give up, don’t waste your vote, this poll says blah, blah, blah!!!”
    The tactic of trolling around conservative websites and attempting to convince folks that there is no chance etc. has been well documented.
    Just remember my moonbat loser friends you are the party of those previous shoe-in losers Gore, Kerry and Du-cock-us!
    You guys could screw up a wet dream! Don’t underestimate the left’s ability to be overconfident and give another repeat of your long run of failed POTUS runs!
    You see if your boy Xerxes does indeed win you’ll be pissing all yourselves and saying I told you so. But if he and Soros fail to buy the POTUS for $750 million you guys will be jumping off of buildings and bridges in droves come Wednesday!
    I for one will be staying away from tall structures come Wednesday!

  49. mary says:

    Does anyone know why he kicked the “journalists” to the curb? Not the we have to make room for the black media excuse that they are spoon feeding everyone but the real reason? Wonder what these three did to be unceremoniously dumped?

  50. They refused to endorse the Obamamessiah.
    You have to wonder what exactly these Obama freaks would recoil from doing. They’ve already endorsed illegal campaign financing. They’ve endorsed registration fraud. They’ve endorsed outright voter fraud. There literally is no crime that Obama can commit that they will not support.

  51. mark l. says:

    “Does anyone know why he kicked the “journalists” to the curb?”
    does play into the whole marxist theory. don’t try and govern by incrementalism, take control quickly and forcefully, but it would have required planning and consideration, and quite frankly, I don’t see them risking an election on a question of letting conservtive outlets view the campaign at ground zero. (bodes ill for the liklihood of ubiased journalists getting into wh pressers. I’m sure obama didn’t even come up with this idea on his, but I am really curious about who advised it.
    If this was a snap decision, it means their internals are on fire, and they have panicked. Gvien his trip to Iowa, I think this is the most likely case. They know they are in deep s**t and can’t let it slip out to the public.

  52. mary says:

    “Obama’s distance, even from those who cover him every day, allows him to coldly calculate about who will be more valuable to him in the final days on the trail. Unsurprisingly, he stuffs the plane with hagiographers over skeptical reporters. Because the thumping he’ll receive from the press for this move will be relatively minor compared with the one a Republican candidate might get, the calculation is likely a good one. If one ever has trouble pegging the real Obama, “opportunist” is usually a safe guess.”
    Posted by Mary Katharine Ham on October 31, 2008 10:30 AM
    This other passage is interesting. Doubt MKH did this unconsciously, but deliberately:
    “In the waning days of this campaign, Obama seems to be succumbing to his worst tendencies. Lofty, presumptuous infomercials. Snarky campaign commercials that take aim at a female opponent in a condescending manner. And, now, the unceremonious dumping of longtime pool reporters. After reading Peter Nicholas’ account of life in the robo-candidate’s pool, it’s not all that surprising that he cuts ties at such a crucial moment with not so much as a second thought:”
    This is the phrase I find utterly fascinating:
    “that take aim at a female opponent in a condescending manner”

  53. mary says:

    Maybe it is just me, but, Americans as a whole are usually nice people. We try to play fair so I’m wondering why he would do this. The ccomments I’ve heard about this are varied. The Kool Aid drinkers say “the reporters could not be trusted to view the final push, and , besides they can go on Senator Joe’s plane. But, the regular people think it was a somewhat mean move. They feel sorry for the reporters and one even suggested that these reporters might be the ones most likely to report “monkey business”.
    Another friends said “he can do anything he wants, he’s gonna be king”

  54. mark l. says:

    personal omen of good news:
    ccr. everytime I hear it, by accident, not by design, something really good happens.
    It was playing in the CVS where I just got candy, and I heard it on a car’s passing radio.
    a two-fer?!?
    the down side is that the ‘good’ is not exactly an issue of what I want to happen…

  55. gimmeabreak says:

    wow, McCain is losing ARIZONA

  56. mark l. says:

    “wow, McCain is losing ARIZONA”
    it is a poll, so it must be true.
    got any feelings any the foxnews poll that has it within 3%, with 9% undecided?

  57. mark l. says:

    “wow, McCain is losing ARIZONA”
    and Obama leads by 11pts in Iowa.
    Guess where he is today…
    the timing of barry chucking the press sounds like the early numbers were coming in bad(Iowa) and they couldn’t afford to panic in front of real reporters.

  58. mark l. says:

    I can actualy explain his Iowa trip…
    its the firewall against losing fl, oh, and VA.
    numbers must not be good. When masoon dixon showed closing in PA, I have a feeling there is a similar trend forming in VA.

  59. gimmeabreak says:

    “palin is going to iowa on monday, why?”
    Simple. Iowa is an absolute must have for McCain (along with ALL the other toss up states). It’s either Iowa or Colorado. He needs 6 or more votes and there just aren’t any more states in play. Regardless of Obama’s lead, McCain has to be in Iowa. Obama is there because the best defense is a good offense…besides the two birds one stone MO affect.

  60. paul says:

    Some people need to learn more about who they are voting for obama is a joke a hamas supporter a racist same as his father get online and read the facts not what you see in the news. Obama is a liar about his whole life his dad was a drunk racist polygamist who killed himself. Vote for someone who cares for there country mcain is not any of these he loves his country.
    What does obama have to offer except he is a liar, a racist oh he denies some comments at his church. He has no experience oh a couple years in the senate.Vote for the future not for the end of our future. Vote for a christain not a muslim that supports Hamas terroist.

  61. mary says:

    A friend of mine said today “maybe the Iraquis had the right idea, we should get out the bottles of blue ink”. We were having coffee and discussing the concept that voter fraud could indeed rear its ugly head in this election.

  62. scarshapedstar says:

    I shudder to say this, but this is like the pot telling the kettle it’s missing the forest.
    Let’s review a few of the claims I’ve read here.
    Claim A: McCain is actually in the lead but biased pollsters tell us otherwise.
    Claim B: McCain is actually losing but only because the librul media tells us he is.
    (Which is it?)
    Claim C: McCain is losing because he and his supporters don’t have anything to offer besides kitchen-sink attack ads.
    Claim D: B. HUSSEIN Obama is a terrorist communist womanizer and the son of Malcolm X, born in a Muslim madrassah and educated by a Christian nutjob, who’s going to take away all your guns and give them to gay people. Vote McCain!
    (Do I need to spell it out?)

  63. scarshapedstar says:

    “We were having coffee and discussing the concept that voter fraud could indeed rear its ugly head in this election.”
    You mean like sending out fake absentee ballot request forms?
    Or simply stealing absentee ballots?
    ” Three Hialeah voters say they had an unusual visitor at their homes last week: a man who called himself Juan, offering to help them fill out their absentee ballots and deliver them to the elections office.
    The voters, all supporters of Democratic congressional candidate Raul Martinez, said they gave their ballots to the man after he told them he worked for Martinez. But the Martinez campaign said he doesn’t work for them.
    Juan ”told me not to worry, that they normally collected all the ballots and waited until they had a stack big enough to hand-deliver to the elections department,” said voter Jesus Hernandez, 73. ‘He said, `Don’t worry. This is not going to pass through the mail to get lost.”’
    Hernandez said he worries his ballot was stolen or destroyed. He and two other voters told The Miami Herald that the man was dispatched by a woman caller who also said she worked for Martinez. But the phone number cited by the voters traces back to a consultant working for Martinez’s rival, Republican congressman Lincoln Diaz-Balart.
    Martinez’s campaign manager, Jeff Garcia, has asked the Miami-Dade state attorney’s office to investigate.”
    That would be most troubling.
    Fun fact: According to the government, the number of actual incidents of voter fraud in a typical year – as opposed to registration fraud, which is obvious and without effect – is… drum roll…
    5. Not 5,000. Not 5,000,000.