Cook Moves PA-12 To Leans GOP

April 27, 2010

An hour ago, PA-12 Burns versus Critz was a toss-up.

Charlie Cook and Stuart Rothenberg, two well respected non-partisan political handicappers, both rate the race as a toss-up. The winner of next month's special election will have to defend the seat in November.

Not according to an update from Charlie Cook – full item is subscription only. Keep the wave going, folks. Support Tim Burns.

PA-12 Special Election Update Three weeks out, most polls show the PA-12 race to replace deceased Democratic Rep. John Murtha a dead heat, with GOP businessman Tim Burns and former Murtha district director Mark Critz hovering around 40 percent of the vote. But polls don't always paint the whole picture, and for special election watchers who think this is the same kind of animal we saw in NY-20 and NY-23 last year, it's time to think again. In this climate and corner of Pennsylvania, Democrats' path to 50 percent is considerably more uphill than Republicans', and the GOP is well-positioned to snap its disheartening string of special election losses.

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