Nate Silver: Romney Debate Gains Show Staying Power
So much for, nothing to see here. Move along. ha!
… Mr. Romney is now seeing some of his best results in swing state polls. Six of the seven polls published on Friday from such states had him ahead.
Thus, just as the hypothesis of a fading Romney bounce was damaged on Friday, so was the idea (which we critiqued in an earlier post) that his gains would be more modest in the swing states.
via Oct. 12: NYTimes.com.


And for that reason, 538 has increased its probability for a Romney win from 32.1% to 33.7%.